The Hunt For October: 9/20/09

Magic Numbers:
Playoff Berth: 1
Division: 9
Home Field Advantage: 8
Relatively speaking, the Yankees will get home field advantage if they clinch their division, because the magic number is higher for the division than it is for home field advantage. So, lets just focus on the division. To do that, let’s take a look at the remaining series for the Yankees.
3 Games @ Anaheim
3 Games vs. Boston
3 Games vs. Kansas City
3 Games @ Tampa Bay

Assuming the Yankees lose today, the magic number for the division will remain at 9 with 12 games left for the Yankees and 14 left for Boston. What does that mean? Well, lets take be fair while being a bit negative. Lets assume this:
3 Games @ Anaheim (lose 2 of 3)
3 Games vs. Boston (lose 2 of 3)
3 Games vs. Kansas City (win 2 of 3)
3 Games @ Tampa Bay (win 2 of 3)

There’s no rhyme or reason to this, but I think it’s fair. I don’t think the Yankees will do any worse than this, so it’s a good place to be. If that happens, the Yankees record in those games would be 6-6. That would mean that the Red Sox would have to go 11-3 in their remaining games. So, the Yankees have a good chance, but still need to maintain focus and win those games. If they win 2 out of 3 in either the LAA or BOS series, than things will pretty much be sealed.
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Stats provided by Baseball-Reference.com
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One comment

  1. redsoxmelissa

    I think it’s fair to say that the Red Sox will win the series against the Yankees, but hey, the rivals are truly unpredictable. I hope they face off in the playoffs–that’d be prettY cool!
    Nice post~
    Melissa
    –http://redsox46.mlblogs.com/

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