Tagged: Adrian Beltre

Beltre: A risk not worth taking

Beltre 1:4.jpgMultiple sources confirm that the Red Sox have agreed to a one-year, $9 million deal with a player option for $5 million. Beltre will fill the void the Red Sox have at third base, and opens up a possible trade with the now useless Lowell.

This is a pretty good deal for the Red Sox. They got him cheap, he’s a pretty good player, and he fits right into their needs. But does he fit into the team?

Using data from fangraphs.com, we see that Beltre doesn’t come close to your typical Red Sox star.

First, lets just go with some stats. Beltre is 31 years old. He has been injured many times in his career. He is a .270 career hitter, with a below average .325 career OBP.

The thing that popped out to me was 36.8% of the pitches Beltre swings at are out of the strike zone. Compare that to the Red Sox team average which is 22.6%, the lowest in the Majors. He also swings at 54.2% of the pitches he sees, compared to the Red Sox team average of 42.3%, again the lowest in the Majors.

Last, let’s look at the Bill James projection for next year. Barring an injury, James predicts Beltre to hit .269 with 17 home runs and 78 RBI’s. Again we look at the essential free agent signing question: Is the team better now then they were before? Well, considering Lowell hit .290 with 17 home runs and 75 RBI’s in 2009, the Red Sox are no better suited now then they were before.

The bottom line here is that Beltre flat out does not make the Red Sox a better team. He doesn’t fit into the patient apporach of the team. That, along with his often injuries, make him a huge threat to the success of the Red Sox. Sure he can be good, but he can also be a disaster.

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The Buzz: 1/4/10

Here are some of the latest news stories from various sources:

  • ESPN.com reports that the Cardinals are getting closer to a deal with Matt Holliday. The deal could be a seven-year deal.
  • Wang’s agent told 1050 ESPN
    that he has heard from 15 teams who are interested in Wang. The Yankees
    were one of them, while the Mets were not. No other teams were
    mentioned.
  • The Red Sox have made an offer for third baseman, Adrian Beltre, according to ESPN.com. Other teams are also interest including the Angels, Athletics and Orioles.
  • Buster Olney tweets that the Athletics have pulled their offer off the table for Adrian Beltre.
  • According to SNY, Jason Bay has passed his physical and is officially a New York Met, to be announced tomorrow.
  • An AP source tells NBCSports.com that Bay’s deal with the Mets will have a $17M option for 2014.
  • Mike Axisa of River Avenue Blues says that the Yankees should go after the A’s, Travis Buck, to play the outfield.
  • The NY Post reports that David Cone will not be returning to the YES Network. Tino Martinez is a possible replacement.
  • 7:40 p.m. SI.com has learned that the Red Sox are now close to a deal with Adrian Beltre. The deal is believed to be at least two-years with an opt-out option after this season.
  • 9:19 p.m. Peter Gammons says via Twitter that the Red Sox have agreed to a one-year deal worth $9M, with a player option for $5M. 9:31 p.m. FOXSports.com confirms.
  • 9:25 p.m. Jerry Crasnick of ESPN.com tweets about a possible trade that would send Luis Castillo to the Red Sox, and Mike Lowell to the Mets. The deal would work out for the Red Sox with Beltre coming, and with Castillo gone, the Mets could go after Orlando Hudson.
  • 9:29 p.m. Chad Jennings of The Journal News reports that the Indians have signed Shelly Duncan.