Tagged: Rays

The Hunt For October: 9/20/09

Magic Numbers:
Playoff Berth: 1
Division: 9
Home Field Advantage: 8
Relatively speaking, the Yankees will get home field advantage if they clinch their division, because the magic number is higher for the division than it is for home field advantage. So, lets just focus on the division. To do that, let’s take a look at the remaining series for the Yankees.
3 Games @ Anaheim
3 Games vs. Boston
3 Games vs. Kansas City
3 Games @ Tampa Bay

Assuming the Yankees lose today, the magic number for the division will remain at 9 with 12 games left for the Yankees and 14 left for Boston. What does that mean? Well, lets take be fair while being a bit negative. Lets assume this:
3 Games @ Anaheim (lose 2 of 3)
3 Games vs. Boston (lose 2 of 3)
3 Games vs. Kansas City (win 2 of 3)
3 Games @ Tampa Bay (win 2 of 3)

There’s no rhyme or reason to this, but I think it’s fair. I don’t think the Yankees will do any worse than this, so it’s a good place to be. If that happens, the Yankees record in those games would be 6-6. That would mean that the Red Sox would have to go 11-3 in their remaining games. So, the Yankees have a good chance, but still need to maintain focus and win those games. If they win 2 out of 3 in either the LAA or BOS series, than things will pretty much be sealed.
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Stats provided by Baseball-Reference.com

9/9 Rays vs. Yankees Preview

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Rays @ Yankees
7:05 pm ET
Yankee Stadium – Bronx, NY
Rays Probable Pitcher:

Jeff Neimann.jpg

Jeff Niemann
#34 RHP
(12-5) 3.67 154.1 IP 58 SO 1.283 WHIP
Last Start: 9/4 vs. DET: ND, 7.2 IP, 6 H, 1 R, 2 BB, 6 SO, 1 HR
Away (Season): (7-3) 4.47 ERA 1.371 WHIP
Vs. Yankees (Season): GS (0-0) 5.40 ERA 2.100 WHIP 
Team Record in Starts: 16-9
Run Support: 6.39 Runs/Game
Opposing Hitters (Yankees):
Most PA: Nick Swisher (5)
Best BA: Derek Jeter, Ramiro Peña (1.000, 1 for 1)
Most H: Derek Jeter, Johnny Damon, Nick Swisher, Ramiro Peña (1)
Most HR: None
Yankees Probable Pitcher:

Joba Chamberlain.jpg
Joba Chamberlain
#62 RHP
(8-5) 4.41 ERA 136.2 IP 117 SO 1.529 WHIP
Last Start: 9/4 @ TOR: L, 3.0 IP, 6 H, 3 R, 2 ER, 2 BB, 2 SO, 1 HBP
Home (Season): (3-3) 5.38 ERA 1.629 WHIP
Vs. Rays (Season): 2 GS (1-0) 1.93 ERA 0.786 WHIP
Team Record in Starts: 17-9
Run Support: 6.04 Runs/Game
Opposing Hitters (Rays):
Most PA: B.J. Upton (10)
Best BA: Jason Batlett (.500, 3 for 6)
Most H: Jason Bartlett (3)
Most HR: None
Keys to the Game:
  1. Take First Pitch: Even after Niemann throws a first pitch strike, batters are hitting .295. So, if your the Yankees, don’t swing at the first pitch. Even if it’s a strike, it’s no big deal. Might as well run up his pitch count.
  2. Get Men On: With men on base, opposing batters are hitting .296 off Niemann. 
  3. Big 2: In the second inning, Niemann has given up 17 runs -the most for any inning – and batters are hitting .306. If the Yankees can have a big second inning and get ahead early, that would give them a great chance to win.
Rays: (72-67)

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Bartlett SS
Crawford LF
Longoria 3B
Zobrist 2B
Burrell DH
Richard 1B
Gross RF
Navarro C
Upton CF
Pitching: Jeff Niemann RHP
Yankees: (90-50)

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Jeter SS
Damon LF
Teixeira 1B
Rodriguez 3B
Matsui DH
Swisher RF
Cano 2B
Gardner CF
Molina C
Pitching: Joba Chamberlain RHP

All stats provided by Baseball-Reference

9/8 Rays vs. Yankees Preview

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Rays @ Yankees
7:05 pm ET
Rays Probable Pitcher:

David Price.jpg
David Price
#14 LHP
(7-7) 4.75 ERA 96.2 IP 81 SO 1.469 WHIP
Last Start: 9/3 vs. BOS: L, 5.1 IP, 6 H, 4 R, 2 BB, 2 SO, HR
Away (Season): (1-4) 6.81 ERA 1.689 WHIP
Vs. Yankees (Season): 1 GS (0-0) 1.59 ERA 1.235 WHIP
Team Record in Starts: 10-8
Run Support: 5.07 Runs/Game
Opposing Hitters (Yankees):
Most PA: Johnny Damon, Derek Jeter (5) 
Best BA: Alex Rodriguez (.667, 2 for 3)
Most H: Alex Rodriguez (2)
Most HR: Derek Jeter, Alex Rodriguez (1)
Yankees Probable Pitcher:

Chad Gaudin.jpg

Chad Gaudin
#41 RHP
(5-10) 4.98 ERA 123.0 IP 121 SO 1.553 WHIP
Last Start: 9/3 @ TOR: ND, 3.2 IP, 4 H, 3 R, 3 BB, 2 SO, 2 HBP
Home (Season): (2-6) 5.77 ERA 1.883 WHIP
Vs. Rays (Season): Never Faced
Team Record in Starts: 9-12
Run Support: 3.90 Runs/Game
Opposing Hitters (Rays):
Most PA: Jason Bartlett, Gabe Kapler (8)
Best BA: Akinori Iwamura (1.000, 2 for 2), Evan Longoria, Ben Zobrist (1.000, 1 for 1)
Most H: Jason Bartlett (3)
Most HR: Evan Longoria (1)
Keys to the Game:
  1. Swing Early: Opposing hitters are hitting .444 on the first pitch from Price.
  2. Get ’em Early: 71% of the HR’s Price has given up this season have been in innings 1-3.
  3. Knock out Price: The Rays bullpen has a 7.71 ERA so far in September. That’s a lot worse than Prices 4.75 ERA.

All stats provided by Baseball-Reference

9/7 Rays vs. Yankees Preview (Game 1)

A.J. and C.C. battle tomorrow in twin bill against Rays at home.

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Rays @ Yankees
1:05 pm ET (1), 7:05 pm ET (2)

Rays Probable Pitcher:

Matt Garza.jpgMatt Garza
#22 RHP
(7-9) 4.01 ERA 170.2 IP 152 SO 1.260 WHIP
Last Game: 9/2 vs. BOS: ND, 6.2 IP, 6 H, 4 R, 3 BB, 3 SO, HBP
Away (Season): (3-5) 4.89 ERA 
Vs. Yankees (Season): 3 GS (0-1) 2.84 ERA 
Team Record in Starts: 14-13
Run Support: 4.16 Runs/Game
Opposing Hitters (Yankees):
Most PA: Derek Jeter (23)
Best BA: Nick Swisher (.571, 4 for 7)
Most H: Derek Jeter (7)
Most HR: Nick Swisher (2)


Yankees Probable Pitcher:

CC Sabathia.jpg
C.C. Sabathia
#52 LHP
(16-7) 3.84 ERA 199.1 IP 167 SO 1.134 WHIP
Last Game: 9/2 @ BAL: W, 7.0 IP, 7 H, R, BB, 9 SO
Home (Season): (5-2) 3.54 ERA 
Vs. Rays (Season): 2 GS (0-1) 5.93 
Team Record in Starts: 18-11
Run Support: 5.75 Runs/Game
Opposing Hitters (Rays):
Most PA: Jason Bartlett (35)
Best BA: Ben Zobrist (.500, 4 for 8)
Most H: Jason Bartlett (10)
Most HR: Carlos Peña, B.J. Upton (2)

Keys to the Game:
  1. Keep Lefties Out: Opposing lefties are hitting just .192 off Garza. 
  2. Don’t Fall Behind: Garza has held opposing hitters to just a .168 BA with two strikes.
  3. Swing Early: On the first pitch, opposing hitters are hitting .357 off Garza.
  4. Take Advantage: With RISP, Garza has held hitters to a .214 BA. So, if your the Yankees, you need to get those runs in because your not going to get many opportunities.
All stats provided by Baseball-Reference

Road Trip Review

AL East

Yankees Logo.pngRed Sox Logo.png7 Rays Logo.png10
Blue Jays Logo.png20.5 Orioles Logo.png27.5
3 Stops:
  1. Seattle (W,W,W,L)
  2. Oakland (L,W,W)
  3. Boston (W,L,W)
Team Record: 7-3 (10 Games)
Offense: .299 BA, . 845 OPS, 24 2B, 1 3B, 16 HR
Pitching: 4.86 ERA, 87.0 IP, 84 SO
Road Trip MVP: Derek Jeter: .488 (21 for 43), 2 2B, 3 HR, 9 RBI
Pitching MVP: C.C. Sabathia: 3 GS (3-0) 2.38 ERA, 22.2 IP, 16 H, 25 SO, 195 BAA
Best Moment: Mark Teixeira: 8/14 @ SEA, GW HR in 9th 

8/13 Yankees vs. Mariners Preview

Yanks try to keep rolling as they hit the road, take on Seattle.

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Yankees @ Mariners
10:10 pm ET
Yankees Probable Pitcher:

CC Sabathia.jpg
C.C. Sabathia
#52 LHP
(12-7) 3.76 ERA 162.2 IP 123 SO 1.168 WHIP
CC was absolutely lights out in his last start. And boy was it a big one, against the Boston Red Sox. He went 7.2 innings, gave up just two hits and no runs, while walking two and striking out nine, a season high. He retired the first 13 batters he faced. In his last two starts, CC has struck out 14 batters in 14.2 innings and has a WHIP of 0.954. Since 2005, CC is 17-2 in the month of August, thats the most wins for any pitcher in that span. In seven career starts at Safeco Field, Sabathia is 4-1 with a 2.83 ERA and a WHIP of 1.091. 
Ichiro is a career .415 hitter against Sabathia. The Mariners as a team are .297 hitters against CC. The Yankees are just 13-11 in games that Sabathia starts, but in his last nine starts, their 6-3. The Yankees average over 5 runs per game when CC is on the mound. 

Mariners Probable Pitcher:

Ian Snell.jpg
Ian Snell
#48 RHP
(2-8) 5.42 ERA 88.0 IP 57 SO 1.648 WHIP
This will be Snells third start as a Mariner, his last one didn’t go so well. He went just 1.1 innings, giving up three runs on two hits and six walks against the Rays. This is Snells first career start against the Yankees. In his last three starts, Ian has an ERA of 8.10 and a WHIP of 2.100. 
The Pirates and Mariners are 4-13 in games that Snell starts. Jerry Hairston and Nick Swisher are the only players on the Yankees with a hit. Mark Teixeira is the only other Yankee to have faced S
nell, he is 0 for 5. 
Keys to the Game: 
  1. Strike One: In 2009, when Snell throws strike one, opposing hitters are batting .227, when he doesn’t, they are hitting .361.
  2. Patience: This year, Snell averages 5.4 walks per nine innings.
  3. Get to the ‘pen: In the month of August, Pirates relievers have a combined 7.02 ERA.